Magazine · Tag
#Bear market
- Goals, planning & psychology · · 13 min readWithdrawal Strategies: The 4% Rule with BitcoinThe 4% rule with bitcoin: four withdrawal strategies, tested from the 2017 and 2021 price peaks. How to withdraw without selling too much at the bottom.
- Power Law · · 11 min readAnticipating Bitcoin Bear Markets with the Power LawWhat the Power Law tells you before and during a bear market: how far the top rose above trend, how deep and when it fell. A plan for top band and floor.
- Power Law · · 12 min readEvery Bitcoin Bear Market Compared: Depth, Duration and RecoveryEvery bitcoin bear market since 2011 compared: how deep, how long, how fast it recovered and where it sat against the Power Law floor. With real data.
- Buying & saving · · 13 min readBuying Bitcoin in a Bear Market: Strategy, Not Gut FeelingBuy bitcoin in a bear market without guessing the bottom: three rules, tested against every bear market since 2013. With examples in euros and francs.
- Goals, planning & psychology · · 12 min readFOMO, Panic and Capitulation: The Typical Bitcoin MistakesBitcoin FOMO, panic selling, capitulation: how the cycle of greed and fear costs money, what real price data shows and how to stop it with rules.
- Power Law · · 13 min readThe Bitcoin Four-Year Cycle: Myth or Pattern?The bitcoin four-year cycle fact-checked: every cycle since 2012 with halving, high and low, why the rhythm held and what it means for 2028 to 2030.
- Power Law · · 12 min readWhy the Floor Never Reaches ZeroWhy the Power Law floor rises every day and never falls to zero, what that means for the bitcoin price and what not, and how far below it the price fell.
- Mining & technology · · 14 min readThe Halvings in Review: What Happened After Each One?All four Bitcoin halvings in review: price on the day, after 6, 12 and 18 months, cycle top, crash, effects on miners and what 2028 may bring.
- Goals, planning & psychology · · 11 min readHODL Psychology: How to Handle Bitcoin's VolatilityUnderstanding HODL psychology: why bitcoin crashes hurt so much, how often you see losses and which rules help you ride out volatility calmly.
- Power Law · · 13 min readThe Power Law Floor: How Low Can Bitcoin Go?The Power Law floor explained: where bitcoin's lower bound is today, how deep past bear markets fell and what followed days below the floor. Do the math.
- Macro & money · · 13 min readStagflation: How Bitcoin Fares in This ScenarioStagflation and bitcoin: what the 1970s teach about gold, stocks and bonds, what 2022 with −77% shows, and how you prepare as a holder.
- Goals, planning & psychology · · 15 min readLiving Off Bitcoin: What It Really TakesLiving off bitcoin: how much BTC you need, why a buffer for two years of bear market works and what taxes and health insurance cost. Run the numbers.
- Goals, planning & psychology · · 13 min readWhy Most Holders Sell Too EarlySelling bitcoin too early: what selling at +50 %, +100 % or +300 % cost in each cycle, why holders do it and how a written plan helps.